Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.229004 0.271026 0.315905 0.367126 0.423689 0.483979 0.552834
2024-10-20 0.168588 0.224170 0.287947 0.365425 0.455905 0.557190 0.678094
2024-10-27 0.131343 0.195371 0.273898 0.374645 0.497880 0.641293 0.818351
2024-11-03 0.104558 0.173735 0.264131 0.385951 0.541034 0.727416 0.963844
2024-11-10 0.083998 0.155956 0.255935 0.396897 0.582786 0.812427 1.110376
2024-11-17 0.063126 0.133138 0.237239 0.391139 0.601440 0.868340 1.222193
2024-11-24 0.049834 0.118804 0.227979 0.396234 0.633173 0.940627 1.355405
2024-12-01 0.037164 0.102209 0.212626 0.390483 0.648794 0.991511 1.461836
2024-12-08 0.025888 0.084659 0.192786 0.375538 0.649701 1.021814 1.541331
2024-12-15 0.020564 0.077424 0.188747 0.383669 0.682904 1.095516 1.678389
2024-12-22 0.014482 0.066087 0.175571 0.375784 0.691703 1.135448 1.770859
2024-12-29 0.012269 0.063653 0.178356 0.393699 0.739044 1.229347 1.936900
2025-01-05 0.008819 0.056254 0.170665 0.393869 0.760186 1.288147 2.058314
2025-01-12 0.006307 0.050218 0.164650 0.396199 0.784425 1.351677 2.187231
2025-01-19 0.004881 0.047135 0.164390 0.408489 0.824456 1.438504 2.349525
2025-01-26 0.003793 0.044620 0.164937 0.422058 0.866704 1.529132 2.518231
2025-02-02 0.002884 0.042114 0.165054 0.434667 0.907602 1.618391 2.686178
2025-02-09 0.001700 0.036339 0.156051 0.429135 0.918424 1.663352 2.792385
2025-02-16 0.001102 0.033203 0.153106 0.434922 0.947844 1.736151 2.938622
2025-02-23 0.000541 0.028468 0.144712 0.429013 0.957130 1.778670 3.042104
2025-03-02 0.000165 0.022877 0.132160 0.413209 0.948514 1.793472 3.105645
2025-03-09 0.000076 0.021244 0.131359 0.421961 0.982451 1.873573 3.264068
2025-03-16 0.000010 0.017664 0.123039 0.413597 0.985798 1.906375 3.354052